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August 12, 2014

August 11, 2014

  • Posted To: MBS Commentary

    Treasuries and MBS are heading out the door in very similar territory to Friday's latest levels. This is something of a relief considering they looked to be on the run on Friday Afternoon. The culprit was an ostensibly game-changing headline suggesting that the growing numbers of Russian troops on the Ukrainian border was simply due to military drills and that those drills were now over. Then...
  • Posted To: Mortgage Rate Watch

    While mortgage rates didn't enjoy as strong of a move lower as US Treasuries last week, they were nonetheless right in line with their best levels since late June . Any time bond markets make an abrupt move to highs or lows, there's a risk that the subsequent move will be a correction back in the other direction. This is the case even if the longer term trends remain unchanged. It's also...
  • 12:53pm

    Posted To: MND NewsWire

    While HUD has yet to post an official announcement, multiple sources indicate Carol Galante has resigned as FHA Commissioner. David H. Stevens, her predecessor as Commissioner and current president of the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) issued a press release this afternoon congratulating Galante on her new job . According to Stevens the Commissioner will be leaving the Department of Housing and Urban...
  • 10:34am

    Posted To: MBS Commentary

    As we've discussed in the past, bond rallies that are fueled by geopolitical risk require constant feeding if they're to survive and thrive. In other words, the geopolitical situation has to continue deteriorating in order for the rate rally to continue. With that in mind, beginning as early as Friday afternoon, headlines suggested a deceleration in risk. Taken together with events this...
  • Posted To: Pipeline Press

    Most professional baseball teams still have 30+ games left in their season (out of 162), and there is plenty of jockeying in the media regarding the playoffs. Baseball is filled with trivia, but there is one tidbit that sticks out in my mind. See if you can stump your friends with this one: "What are the only two days during the year when there are no professional sports games (MLB...
  • Posted To: MBS Commentary

    Even during the strongest moves lower for rates, we'll still see periodic weakness within the trend. In other words, if rates are falling and generally staying inside a trend channel (downwardly-sloped railroad tracks that enclose rate movement on a chart), corrections to the upper end of the channels are normal . Also normal is the fact that all trends come to an end at some point. When we...

August 8, 2014

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