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April 7, 2014

  • Posted To: MBS Commentary

    Today's story isn't much more complicated than the headline. It's not uncommon to see some follow-through on Monday following NFP Friday if the latter caused a big move. That said, we didn't have that sort of rally right from the beginning of the day today. It was only on the approach to the 930am stock market open that bonds perked up and began digging in to positive territory....
  • Posted To: Mortgage Rate Watch

    Mortgage rates fell again today, bringing them to levels not seen since March 18th for many lenders. While there was no significant economic data today, rates benefited in part from the ongoing weakness in stocks, which are on pace for their worst 2-day loss since January. When investors are pulling money out of stocks, the bond market can be one of the beneficiaries, including the mortgage-...
  • Posted To: MND NewsWire

    The National Association of Home Builders' (NAHB)/First American Leading Market Index (LMI) was unchanged from March to April , remaining at 59 metropolitan areas. A position on the index indicates that those markets returned to or exceeded their last normal levels of economic activity along three parameters, employment, home prices, and construction activity. The LMI has gained eleven metropolitan areas over the...
  • 12:30pm

    Posted To: MND NewsWire

    Fannie Mae sees results from its most recent National Housing Survey (NHS) as possibly portending a pickup in home buying and selling activity this spring. Results of the survey show that despite recent month-to-month volatility in housing markets and a softening of the recovery, many consumer attitudes have continued to move in a positive direction. The share of the March survey respondents who say it is a good...
  • 11:22am

    Posted To: MND NewsWire

    Black Knight Financial Services said that mortgage originations at the end of February were at the lowest levels in at least 14 years , as far back as the company has kept records. Still, the company's Senior Vice President of Data and Analytics said real estate sales have remained relatively steady, thanks to the number of cash transactions. Herb Blecher explained in the most recent edition of Black Knight's...
  • 10:52am

    Posted To: MBS Commentary

    Stock market momentum isn't the only consideration for bond markets this morning, but it's perhaps the most overt . So far, it's helped MBS and Treasuries build nicely on Friday's gains. Domestic bond markets began the day essentially unchanged after an uneventful overnight session. The 9:30am stock market cash open was a slippery slope for bond yields--the closer they got to the...
  • 10:00am

    Posted To: MND NewsWire

    The Obama Administration's February Housing Scorecard, just released, harkens back to those not so thrilling days of yesteryear, using data from several sources to contend that the housing recovery is in a lot better shape today than conventional wisdom thought it would be. The Scorecard says its House Price Expectations Chart was updated in February 2013 by replacing market expectations as they existed in...
  • Posted To: Pipeline Press

    I don't know too many people who look forward to dusting of their resumes, trying to squeeze into an interview suit, and making it look like their last job went precisely as planned. But such is the case with the modern worker, and very few people will spend any length of time with just a single firm; it's the new-new economy where according to BLS the median tenure for workers is...
  • Posted To: MBS Commentary

    This week marks the first major intermission for the bond markets story in 2014. The first act was intensely sideways, leading to phrases like " serious monotony problem ." That observation was exactly one week ago today, in anticipation of a generally strong week of economic data and the prospects for NFP to finally be the thing that prompted a range break-out . Here's that chart...

April 4, 2014

  • Posted To: MBS Commentary

    If you missed it for some reason--and that's entirely possible on an NFP day--there was an important dark horse market mover today, just a short while after this morning's NFP release. When wires hit regarding the ECB modeling a €1 trillion QE program, a rally that had mostly run its course in bond markets, suddenly became reinvigorated. This might sound like a big leap of faith to...

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